Should you aim at AI rather than Google in 2026?

Where usage stands, which searches have moved to assistants, what Google has absorbed, and how to split your effort without backing the wrong horse

The essentials

  • The answer: neither one exclusively. Google is still the first point of entry (more than 85% of web searches in France), but it has itself become an AI engine with AI Overviews and AI Mode.
  • What has moved: complex informational searches, comparisons and writing; not local, transactional or brand searches.
  • For a small business: the same content serves both, provided it is structured for extraction; the extra GEO effort is 10 to 20%.
  • The trap: dropping SEO to "do GEO"; AI picks its sources from search indexes.

The question has been coming up among business owners since 2024: now that customers ask ChatGPT, is it still worth investing in Google? The answer fits in one sentence: Google remains dominant but has turned itself into an AI engine, and assistants pick their sources from search indexes. This article gives the 2026 usage figures, separates the searches that have moved from those that haven't, and proposes a trade-off. The wider framing is in GEO marketing.

Usage in 2026

Metric2026 order of magnitudeSource
Google's share of web search in France85 to 90% (Bing 5 to 8%)StatCounter
Weekly ChatGPT users worldwideMore than 800 millionOpenAI
French internet users using an AI assistant to search each week15 to 30% depending on the studyIfop, Médiamétrie, sector studies
Google queries showing an AI Overview10 to 30% of informational queries, highly variable by sectorSemrush, BrightEdge, Ahrefs
Referral traffic from assistants to websites0.5 to 3% of sessions, growing by tens of percent per quarterAggregated GA4 measurements
Google query volumeStable to slightly risingGoogle, third-party estimates

How to read this: assistants have taken a real place without pushing Google back in volume; above all they have changed the nature of certain searches, and Google has built the AI answer into its own pages. How assistants work is set out in detail in understanding AI engines.

What has moved, what hasn't

Type of searchWhere it happens in 2026Consequence
Complex informational ("how do I choose", "explain", "compare")Increasingly in assistants and AI OverviewsGuides and comparisons have to be citable; the click is no longer guaranteed
Writing, summarising, decision supportAssistantsA new channel: being the source the AI cites in its reasoning
Recommending brands, tools, providersBoth; assistants name 3 to 5 brandsBeing on the shortlist becomes a marketing objective
Local ("near me", opening hours, reviews)Google, Google Maps, Apple Maps; assistants draw on your Google listingLocal SEO remains the lever, and it feeds AI too
Transactional (buy, book, price)Google, marketplaces, websites; ChatGPT is starting (Shopping)Little change in the short term
Navigational and brandGoogleNo change
Breaking newsGoogle, social networks, mediaAssistants lag by a few hours

What Google has absorbed

Since 2024, Google has shown AI Overviews at the top of many queries, then a conversational AI Mode. The sources cited are mostly top-10 pages. The consequence: "aiming at Google" in 2026 already includes "aiming at Google's AI", and the practices are the same as for other assistants: direct answers, structure, facts, a named author. Organic clicks fall on queries with an Overview, by 15 to 40% depending on the study, but the pages cited keep qualified traffic and gain recognition. The mechanism is described in the AI featured snippet and the wider shift in GEO and SEO.

The trade-off for a small business

  1. Don't pick a side: SEO remains the foundation, because assistants and Google pick their sources from the same indexes. Content that ranks well and is well structured serves both.
  2. Add 10 to 20% of GEO effort: rewrite your key pages as self-contained answers, add figures and tables, sign and date them, mark them up, open up to AI crawlers, consolidate your entity; see structuring your pages for AI.
  3. Prioritise according to your business: a small local business keeps local SEO and its Google listing first; a B2B business or a software vendor invests more in reference content and comparisons, where assistants make recommendations.
  4. Measure both: rankings and clicks (Search Console), citations and share of voice (GEO tracking), AI referral traffic and conversions (GA4); see GEO KPIs.
  5. Review every quarter: the share of searches going through assistants is rising fast; the trade-offs of 2026 won't be those of 2028.

Mistakes to avoid

  • Stopping SEO in favour of a "GEO" sold as a new independent discipline: AI's sources come from search indexes.
  • Blocking AI crawlers for fear of content being scraped: that means giving up the citations and the traffic that comes with them; see indexing by AI.
  • Judging GEO on traffic alone: a citation read without a click builds recognition and preference.
  • Producing generic content "for AI": it cites what is precise, sourced and different.
Our advice: take your ten most important queries and look, for each one, at whether Google shows an AI Overview and what ChatGPT answers. The ones where AI answers on its own are your GEO priorities; the ones where Google shows links and a local pack remain classic SEO work. The split happens query by query, not wholesale.

How GreenRed helps

Rather than juggling several tools, GreenRed's GEO and AI module brings these metrics together in a single dashboard, compares them over time and tells you which actions come first. You can try it free, with no card, from the Pricing.

Frequently asked questions

Is ChatGPT going to replace Google?

Not by 2026-2027: Google still handles the vast majority of web searches and has built AI into its own results. Assistants have taken a real share of informational searches and comparisons, and that share is growing. The two coexist; well-structured content serves both.

Do I need a separate budget for GEO?

Not necessarily to begin with: the GEO effort amounts to 10 to 20% of extra work on your SEO content (structure, direct answers, structured data, entity consistency) plus a citation tracking tool. A dedicated budget is justified for brands whose customers choose through assistant recommendations (software, B2B services).

Do local searches go through AI?

Not much yet: for "near me", opening hours and reviews, people use Google, Google Maps and Apple Maps. Assistants answer local questions by drawing on your Google listing and your reviews. A complete listing and recent reviews therefore serve both channels.

How do I know whether my customers use AI to find me?

Three clues: referral traffic from chatgpt.com, perplexity.ai or gemini.google.com in GA4; the presence of AI Overviews on your queries in a rank tracking tool; and asking customers directly, or in your form ("how did you hear about us?", with an "AI assistant" option).

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